Analyst Alleges Why Ruto Might Still Reclaim Power Come 2027 Despite Criticism From Opposition

Political analyst Herman Manyora has sparked debate by suggesting that President William Ruto is poised for re-election, even amid widespread criticism from the opposition.

Manyora argues that the opposition's current disorganization and lack of a cohesive strategy could hand Ruto a "through pass" to victory, forcing them to wait until 2032 for a realistic shot at power.

This comes at a time when recent developments, including by-election wins for Ruto-aligned candidates and pledges of opposition unity, highlight the fractured political landscape.

Manyora, a non-partisan commentator and contributor to outlets like Citizen TV and KTN, has been vocal about the opposition's shortcomings.

The opposition took emotions to Malava. They lost. They took lamentations to Mbeere North. They lost," Manyora stated in a post on X, urging the opposition to address "uncomfortable questions" to effectively challenge Ruto in 2027.

Current developments underscore Manyora's points. In late 2025, by-elections in Mbeere North and Malava saw victories for candidates backed by Ruto's United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and its allies, despite strong opposition campaigns.

These wins have been interpreted by analysts as indicators of Ruto's enduring grassroots machinery and control over state resources, including parliamentary leverage and county patronage networks.

One X user noted, "Ruto controls state power, which is a fully functional national machine," contrasting this with the opposition's lack of a "centre of gravity" or shared economic narrative.